⚠️ 信号已过滤:ATR百分位过低(-197.0%),流动性不足
主方向信号(1h模型 · 24h预测)
观望 ◆
等待机会
共识: 4/7 | 入场: 观望
当前价格
$4,055.99
ATR1.11
ATR百分位-197.0%
ADX-65.4
市场状态趋势市
盈亏比
1:5.7
TP 3.6% / SL 0.6%
Fold 投票分布(7个有效Fold)
🟢 做多: 2票🟡 观望: 1票🔴 做空: 4票
多时间窗口预测
| 时间窗口 | 方向 | 做多概率 | 做空概率 | 中性概率 | MFE预期 | MAE预期 | 趋势持续 |
| 6h后 | 做空 | 26.3% | 53.8% | 19.8% | +2.29% | -0.49% | -0.08 |
| 12h后 | 做空 | 28.8% | 56.4% | 14.8% | +3.45% | -0.34% | -0.17 |
| 24h后 | 做空 | 30.5% | 56.2% | 13.2% | +4.49% | +0.42% | -0.25 |
各 Fold 详情
| Fold | 方向 | 置信度 | 做多概率 | 做空概率 | 中性概率 | 质量分 | Champion分 |
| Fold 26 | 做空 ▼ | 95.7% | 1.7% | 95.7% | 2.6% | 48.7% | 2.9939 |
| Fold 06 | 做空 ▼ | 90.8% | 5.1% | 90.8% | 4.1% | 51.2% | 2.9215 |
| Fold 25 | 做空 ▼ | 60.5% | 6.0% | 60.5% | 33.6% | 50.6% | 2.8786 |
| Fold 18 | 观望 ◆ | 35.0% | 34.5% | 30.4% | 35.0% | 45.6% | 2.7465 |
| Fold 16 | 做多 ▲ | 91.9% | 91.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 50.6% | 2.6603 |
| Fold 02 | 做多 ▲ | 72.3% | 72.3% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 50.5% | 2.6658 |
| Fold 13 | 做空 ▼ | 96.5% | 2.2% | 96.5% | 1.3% | 50.3% | 2.6536 |
交易执行参数
入场策略
入场模式观望
建议仓位0.8%
仓位缩放0.5x
信号过滤已过滤
止损止盈(基于MFE/MAE)
止损(SL)0.6%
止盈(TP)3.6%
盈亏比1:5.7
主预测窗口24h 后
模型信息
模型架构
CNN-BiLSTM-Transformer
往期预测效果
| 时间 | 方向 | 置信度 | 入场价 | 实际价 | 盈亏比 | 结果 |
|---|
| 2026-07-26 07:00 | 做空 ▼ | 75% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:54 | 做空 ▼ | 74% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:48 | 做空 ▼ | 74% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.5 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:42 | 做空 ▼ | 74% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:36 | 做空 ▼ | 74% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:30 | 做空 ▼ | 74% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.5 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:24 | 做空 ▼ | 74% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:18 | 做空 ▼ | 75% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:12 | 做空 ▼ | 75% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 06:06 | 做空 ▼ | 74% | $4,056 | — | 1:5.5 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 04:00 | 做空 ▼ | 76% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:54 | 做空 ▼ | 76% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:48 | 做空 ▼ | 75% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:42 | 做空 ▼ | 76% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:36 | 做空 ▼ | 76% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:30 | 做空 ▼ | 76% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:24 | 做空 ▼ | 75% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:18 | 做空 ▼ | 76% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:12 | 做空 ▼ | 76% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-26 03:06 | 做空 ▼ | 75% | $4,056 | — | 1:2.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |